Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Lei Jun reveals the pronunciation of Xiaomi YU7: Y-U-7. Lei Jun, the founder, chairman and CEO of Xiaomi Technology, made a public response to the pronunciation of the new product code "YU7" which has attracted much attention recently through his personal social platform. Lei Jun said: "Many people ask YU7 how to read? Just read Y-U-7 directly. " He also revealed: "When it is released, we will explain in detail why it is named like this." It is worth noting that YU7 is Xiaomi's first SUV model. Previously, Lei Jun once issued a document saying that Xiaomi YU7 is currently conducting a large-scale road test and is expected to be officially listed in June and July next year.European stocks collectively opened lower, with the Stoxx 50 index in Europe down 0.3%, DAX index in Germany down 0.2%, FTSE 100 index in Britain down 0.4% and CAC 40 index in France down 0.4%.
The Nikkei 225 index closed at 39,197.42 points in early trading, up 0.09%.The trio set up a new digital technology company in Horgos, and the enterprise search APP shows that Horgos moderns Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Ye Gengen as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: digital creative product exhibition service; Data processing and storage support services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by three banks.Tianjin launched the "Free Student Aid Program"? The Municipal Education Commission denied the rumor: False. On December 9th, a message signed by Tianjin Education Commission was spread on the Internet, which mentioned such related information as "launching the free student aid program", "starting the free teaching link", "distributing online quality courses" and "parents click on the link to get information according to students' grades". Verified by Tianjin Education Commission, this information was not sent by Tianjin Education Commission, and the relevant information is not true. Please don't believe it or click on the link in the information to avoid being deceived.
Aerospace Electromechanical: It is planned to reduce the capital of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Hong Kong Holdings, by 52.5 million US dollars. Aerospace Electromechanical announced on the evening of December 10 that in order to improve the efficiency of capital use and reduce the risk of overseas operation, while ensuring the normal operation of Shanghai Aerospace Holdings (Hong Kong Holdings) Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hong Kong Holdings"), the company plans to reduce the capital of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Aerospace Holdings (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. by 52.5 million US dollars. After the company recovers the capital reduction, it will all be used to repay the M&A loan.China's total export in November was 2,221.72 billion yuan, with the previous value of 2,189.92 billion yuan. China's total import volume in November was 1,528.92 billion yuan, with the previous value of 1,510.82 billion yuan.Morgan Stanley published a research report that China's monetary policy changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to support market sentiment in 2025, and the real policy may focus on interest rate reform in 2025. Morgan Stanley said that the increased attention to reactivating the capital market should also help support market sentiment and keep the trading volume high in the short term. The bank also suggested that optimizing existing loans, more rational bank loan growth and interest rate reform may be the real focus in 2025. The bank believes that risk-based loan pricing may continue to recover, which will help to buffer the bank's net interest margin, even if some additional loan market quotations are lowered.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13